We often underestimate our own ability to adapt to changing circumstances from "summary" of Stumbling on Happiness by Daniel Gilbert
Our inability to predict what will make us happy in the future is due to a fundamental misunderstanding of our own adaptive capacities. We often assume that major life changes will significantly impact our well-being, underestimating our ability to adapt to new circumstances. This is because we tend to focus on the initial emotional impact of events rather than considering the long-term effects. When faced with a potential change, we predict that it will have a greater impact on our happiness than it actually does. For example, we may believe that winning the lottery or getting a promotion will drastically improve our lives, only to find that our happiness levels return to baseline after a period of adjustment. Likewise, we may fear that a negative event such as a breakup or job loss will devastate us, only to discover that we are more resilient than we imagined. Our tendency to underestimate our adaptability is a result of the way our brains are wired to prioritize short-term emotions over long-term well-being. This bias leads us to make decisions based on inaccurate predictions about how future events will affect us. By failing to recognize our own capacity for adaptation, we are more likely to make choices that do not align with our true desires and values. In order to make more accurate predictions about our future happiness, we must learn to take our adaptive capacities into account. By recognizing that we have the ability to adjust to changing circumstances, we can make more informed decisions that lead to greater well-being in the long run. It is only by acknowledging our own resilience that we can truly understand what will make us happy in the future.
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