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Be cautious of overconfidence from "summary" of The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli
Overconfidence is a dangerous trap that many of us fall into without even realizing it. We tend to believe that we are smarter, more capable, and luckier than we actually are. This false sense of security can lead us to take unnecessary risks and make poor decisions. It can blind us to the potential pitfalls and obstacles that lie ahead. One of the reasons we succumb to overconfidence is due to our tendency to seek out information that confirms our existing beliefs. We ignore or downplay any evidence that contradicts our assumptions. This confirmation bias reinforces our sense of invincibility, making us more susceptible to making errors in judgment. Another factor that contributes to overconfidence is our limited ability to accurately assess our own skills and knowledge. We tend to overestimate our abilities in areas where ...
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