Substitution heuristics simplify complex problems from "summary" of Thinking, Fast and Slow... in 30 Minutes by 30 Minute Expert Summary Staff
Substitution heuristics are mental shortcuts that simplify complex problems by substituting a difficult question with an easier one. This simplification allows individuals to make quicker decisions, often without even realizing they are taking a shortcut. Rather than tackling the original complex problem directly, individuals rely on their intuition to answer a simpler question that closely resembles the original one. For example, when asked to estimate the likelihood of a specific event occurring, individuals may instead answer a related but simpler question, such as how easily examples of this event come to mind. This substitution of questions allows individuals to arrive at a quick and confident answer, even if it may not be the most accurate one. While substitution heuristics can be helpful in simplifying complex problems, they can also lead to errors in judgment and decision-making. By substituting complex questions with simp...
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