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Efficient markets reflect all available information from "summary" of The Economics Book by DK

In a perfectly efficient market, all available information is already factored into the prices of assets. This means that investors cannot consistently achieve above-average returns by using publicly available information. The idea is that asset prices adjust rapidly to new information, making it impossible for anyone to consistently outperform the market. For example, let's say a company announces better-than-expected earnings. In an efficient market, this information would be quickly reflected in the stock price, making it difficult for investors to profit from this knowledge. This is because the stock price would already have adjusted to account for the positive earnings news. Efficient markets are based on the concept of the "random walk theory," which suggests that stock prices move randomly and independently of each other. This means that past price movements cannot be used to predict future price movements, as prices already reflect all available information. The efficient market hypothesis has three forms: weak, semi-strong, and strong. The weak form suggests that all past price information is already reflected in current prices, making it impossible to profit from historical price movements. The semi-strong form argues that all publicly available information is reflected in asset prices, making it difficult to gain an edge through fundamental analysis. The strong form suggests that even insider information is quickly reflected in prices, making it impossible to consistently profit from non-public information. Critics of the efficient market hypothesis argue that markets are not always perfectly efficient and that there are opportunities for investors to outperform the market through skill or luck. They point to examples of successful investors who have been able to consistently beat the market, suggesting that markets are not always perfectly efficient.
  1. The concept of efficient markets reflecting all available information is a central idea in financial economics. It suggests that investors cannot consistently beat the market using publicly available information, as prices adjust rapidly to new information. While there are critics of the efficient market hypothesis, the idea remains an important foundation in understanding how financial markets operate.
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The Economics Book

DK

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