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Don't fall for the correlationcausation fallacy from "summary" of The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli
Beware the correlation-causation fallacy. It's a trap we often stumble into when trying to make sense of the world. Just because two things are related doesn't mean that one causes the other. This mistake can lead us to false conclusions and poor decision-making. Consider this example: as ice cream sales go up, so do drowning deaths. Does this mean that eating ice cream causes people to drown? Of course not. The real culprit is the summer heat, which drives people to both eat ice cream and swim. The relationship between ice cream sales and drowning deaths is merely a correlation, not a causation. To avoid falling for this fallacy, we must be vigilant in our thinking. Whenever we see a correlation, we must ask ourselves: is there a plausible mechanism that could explain the relationship? Without a logical connection between two variables, we cannot assume that on...
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