Superforecasting requires a combination of skill, practice, and dedication from "summary" of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
To become a successful superforecaster, one must possess a unique combination of skills, practice regularly, and demonstrate unwavering dedication. The ability to accurately predict future events does not come easily or naturally to most individuals. It requires a certain level of cognitive aptitude, including critical thinking, analytical reasoning, and pattern recognition. These skills must be honed through continuous practice and refinement. Superforecasting is not a passive endeavor; it requires active engagement and a commitment to ongoing learning and improvement. Successful superforecasters understand that the...
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