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Our predictions of future happiness are often based on superficial factors from "summary" of Stumbling on Happiness by Daniel Gilbert

We humans are quite adept at imagining what will make us happy in the future. We rely on our imagination to predict how we will feel if a certain event comes to pass. However, our predictions are often unreliable. Why? Because we tend to focus on superficial factors when making these predictions. We are easily swayed by external circumstances that may not actually have a significant impact on our overall happiness. For example, we may believe that winning the lottery will bring us eternal happiness. We imagine ourselves lounging on a tropical beach, sipping cocktails and living a life of luxury. However, research has shown that lottery winners are not significantly happier in the long run. This is because we fail to consider the internal factors that truly contribute to our happiness, such as our relationships, health, and sense of purpose. Another common pitf...
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    Stumbling on Happiness

    Daniel Gilbert

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