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Political polls are often inaccurate from "summary" of Everybody Lies by Seth Stephens-Davidowitz

In the realm of politics, polls are regarded as a key tool for gauging public opinion. However, they are not always accurate. One reason for this inaccuracy is what researchers call 'social desirability bias'. When asked about their political views, people may not always give honest answers. They may feel pressured to conform to societal norms or give responses that they believe are more socially acceptable. Another factor that contributes to the inaccuracy of political polls is something known as 'nonresponse bias'. This occurs when certain groups of people are less likely to participate in polls, skewing the results. For example, low-income individuals or those with less education may be less likely to resp...
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    Everybody Lies

    Seth Stephens-Davidowitz

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