Delayed feedback can create problems in system dynamics from "summary" of Thinking in Systems by Donella H. Meadows
Delayed feedback can create problems in system dynamics. In a system with delayed feedback, a cause can produce an effect that can then affect the cause, but only after some time has passed. The time delays can vary from milliseconds to millennia. The longer the delay, the harder it is to recognize the feedback loop. Delayed feedback can lead to oscillations and instability in a system. The cause may trigger an effect, which then feeds back to amplify the original cause. This can lead to a reinforcing feedback loop that can grow exponentially over time. Oscillations can occur when the effects of a cause take time to be felt and by the time they are felt, the cause has already been modified by the feedback.
The delay in feedback can also make it difficult to identify the root cause of problems in a system. When the effects of a cause are not immediately seen, it can be challenging to trace back the chain of events that led to a particular outcome. This can result in ineffective solutions that only address the symptoms of the problem, rather than the underlying causes.
Moreover, delayed feedback can also create a sense of complacency in a system. When the effects of a cause are not immediately apparent, it can lull people into a false sense of security. This can lead to inaction or delayed action, which can exacerbate problems in the long run.
In summary, delayed feedback can create problems in system dynamics by leading to oscillations, instability, difficulty in identifying root causes, and a false sense of security. It is important to recognize the presence of delays in feedback loops and to account for them when analyzing and designing systems.
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