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Overestimating causal influences leads to superstitions from "summary" of Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
The human mind is a pattern-seeking machine, constantly searching for causal relationships in the world around us. When events happen in close succession, our minds quickly jump to the conclusion that one event caused the other. This tendency to overestimate causal influences can lead us down the path of superstition. Superstitions are born out of our innate need to make sense of the world and exert a sense of control over our lives. When we believe that certain actions or rituals can influence future events, we are falling into the trap of overestimating causal connections. This can lead to the development of irrational beliefs that have no basis in reality. In reality, many events in our lives are simply due to chance or random coincidence. However, our minds ar...
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