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Nationalism can increase the likelihood of war from "summary" of The War of the World by Niall Ferguson

Nationalism has a way of inflaming passions and driving people towards conflict. It is the belief in the superiority of one's own nation above all others, leading to a sense of pride and a desire for dominance. This fervent devotion to one's country can create a dangerous us-versus-them mentality, where any perceived threat to national identity is met with hostility and aggression. In times of crisis or uncertainty, nationalism can be a powerful tool for mobilizing the masses and rallying support for war. Leaders can harness this collective sense of patriotism to justify military action and rally citizens to defend their nation against external threats. The idea of national pride and the need to protect one's homeland can override rational thinking and lead to rash decisions that escalate tensions and push countries towards war. Moreover, nationalism often goes hand in hand with a belief in the superiority of one's own culture, race, or ideology. This sense of exceptionalism can breed contempt for others who are perceived as different or inferior, ...
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    The War of the World

    Niall Ferguson

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