Historicist predictions are not based on rational analysis from "summary" of The Poverty of Historicism by Karl Popper
The historicist believes in the predictability of historical events, claiming that history follows certain laws or patterns that can be uncovered and used to make accurate predictions about the future. However, this belief is misguided, as history is full of unpredictable and contingent events that cannot be reduced to simple laws or patterns. Historicist predictions are often based on a flawed understanding of causality, assuming that historical events can be traced back to a single cause or set of causes. This reductionist approach fails to capture the complexity and unpredictability of history, leading to inaccurate and unreliable predictions. Furthermore, historicist predictions a...
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