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Market timing is nearly impossible from "summary" of The Four Pillars of Investing: Lessons for Building a Winning Portfolio by William J. Bernstein

Timing the market is a seductive notion that has entranced investors for generations. The idea is that by predicting the future movements of the market, one can buy low and sell high, thereby reaping immense profits. However, the grim reality is that market timing is a fool's errand. Countless studies have shown that not only is it extremely difficult to predict the market's movements, but those who do attempt to time the market often end up worse off than if they had simply stayed the course. Market timing requires not only predicting the market's direction correctly but also knowing when to get in and out of the market. This is an incredibly tall order, given the countless variables that can influence the market at any given moment. Economic indicators, political events, natural disasters - all of these and more can affect the market in unpredictable ways. The sheer complexity of the market makes it nearly impossible ...
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    The Four Pillars of Investing: Lessons for Building a Winning Portfolio

    William J. Bernstein

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