Superforecasters are willing to consider alternative viewpoints from "summary" of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
Superforecasters possess a unique ability that sets them apart from others in their field. They are not rigid in their thinking, but rather open to considering a variety of viewpoints, even those that may contradict their own beliefs. This willingness to entertain alternative perspectives allows them to see situations from multiple angles, enabling them to make more informed predictions. By being open-minded and receptive to different ideas, superforecasters are able to avoid the trap of confirmation bias. Instead of seeking out information that supports their preconceived notions, they actively seek out information that challenges their assumptions. This approach helps them avoid tunnel vision and remain flexible in their thinking, leading to more accurate forecasts. Superforecast...
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