Superforecasters are openminded and willing to change their opinions from "summary" of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
Superforecasters possess a unique quality that sets them apart from others: they are openminded and willing to change their opinions. This flexibility in thinking allows them to adapt to new information and update their forecasts accordingly. They are not afraid to admit when they are wrong or when their initial assessment was off the mark. Instead, they embrace the opportunity to learn and grow from their mistakes. By being openminded, superforecasters are able to consider a wide range of possibilities and perspectives. They do not limit themselves to one point of view but rather seek out diverse sources of information and opinions. This approach helps them see the bigger picture and make more accurate predictions in the long run. They are constantly seeking out new data and feedback to refine their forecasts and improve their decision-making process. In additio...
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