Superforecasters are highly diligent and detailoriented from "summary" of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
Superforecasters possess a unique set of characteristics that set them apart from the average person. One such trait is their high level of diligence, which drives them to constantly seek out new information and update their predictions accordingly. They are not content to simply rely on their initial assumptions; instead, they actively seek out feedback and adjust their forecasts based on new evidence. In addition to their diligence, superforecasters are also highly detail-oriented. They pay close attention to even the smallest pieces of information, recognizing that even seemingly insignificant details can have a significant impact on the outcome of an event. By carefully considering all available data, they are able to make more accurate predictions than those who focus solely on the big picture. This attention to detail is not just a matter of thoroughness; it is also a reflection o...
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