Forecasting tournaments provide opportunities to hone forecasting skills from "summary" of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
Forecasting tournaments are like boot camps for the mind, providing a rigorous training ground for individuals looking to sharpen their forecasting abilities. These tournaments offer a unique opportunity for participants to put their skills to the test in a high-pressure environment, where they must constantly evaluate their predictions against real-world outcomes. By engaging in these competitions, forecasters are able to receive immediate feedback on the accuracy of their predictions, allowing them to learn from their mistakes and make adjustments to their approach. The competitive nature of forecasting tournaments pushes participants to think critically and creatively, forcing them to consider a wide range of factors that may influence the outcome of an event. This process of constantly challenging and refining one's predictions helps individuals develop a more nuanced u...
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