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We are often poor judges of what will truly make us happy in the long run from "summary" of Stumbling on Happiness by Daniel Gilbert

Humans have a remarkable ability to imagine the future, and we often rely on these mental simulations to make decisions about what will make us happy. However, our predictions about what will bring us joy can be wildly inaccurate. This is because our predictions are influenced by a number of cognitive biases and heuristics that can lead us astray. One reason why we struggle to predict what will make us happy in the long run is that we tend to focus on the wrong things. For example, we often overestimate the impact that certain events or possessions will have on our well-being. We believe that getting a promotion, buying a new car, or moving to a new city will make us significantly happier, only to find that the initial boost in happiness is short-lived. ...
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    Stumbling on Happiness

    Daniel Gilbert

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