Predicting based on averages is ineffective from "summary" of End of Average by Todd Rose
When we rely on averages to make predictions, we are essentially assuming that everyone fits neatly into the same mold. This approach oversimplifies the complexity of human variation and leads to a distorted understanding of individuals. Averages can be useful for describing large groups of people, but they fall short when it comes to capturing the unique characteristics of each person. By focusing on averages, we ignore the rich tapestry of human diversity and treat individuals as mere statistics. This can have serious consequences, particularly in fields like education, healthcare, and business, where decisions are often made based on group data rather than individual needs. Predicting based on averages not only fails to account for individual differences but also perpetuates a one-size-fits-all mentality that stifles innovation and progress. In reality, no one is truly average in every dimension. Each...
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