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Uncertainty must be taken into account from "summary" of Economics of the Environment by Robert N. Stavins

When analyzing environmental policies, it is crucial to consider uncertainty. This is because there are always unknown factors that can influence the outcomes of a policy. For example, the actual costs and benefits of a policy may differ from initial projections due to unforeseen circumstances. Uncertainty can arise from various sources, such as changes in technology, market conditions, or environmental conditions. These uncertainties can make it difficult to predict the effectiveness of a policy and its impacts on the environment and ...
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    Economics of the Environment

    Robert N. Stavins

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