Sensitive dependence limits longterm predictability from "summary" of Chaos by James Gleick
The idea that small differences in initial conditions can lead to vastly different outcomes is at the heart of chaos theory. This concept, known as sensitive dependence on initial conditions, has profound implications for long-term predictability. In a chaotic system, even the smallest perturbation can cause a significant divergence in the system's behavior over time. This sensitivity to initial conditions means that long-term predictions become increasingly unreliable as time goes on. While short-term forecasts may be somewhat accurate, the accumulation of small errors over time can lead to ...
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